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Earthquake risk assessment for Istanbul metropolitan area

M. Erdik, N. Aydinoglu, Y. Fahjan, K. Sesetyan, M. Demircioglu, B. Siyahi, E. Durukal, C. Ozbey, Y. Biro, H. Akman and O. Yuzugullu

Boğazici University, Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Department of Earthquake Engineering, Istanbul, Turkey

Abstract: The impact of earthquakes in urban centers prone to disastrous earthquakes necessitates the analysis of associated risk for rational formulation of contingency plans and mitigation strategies. In urban centers, the seismic risk is best quantified and portrayed through the preparation of “Earthquake Damage and Loss Scenarios.” The components of such scenarios are the assessment of the hazard, inventories and the vulnerabilities of elements at risk. For the development of the earthquake risk scenario in Istanbul, two independent approaches, one based on intensities and the second on spectral displacements, are utilized. This paper will present the important features of a comprehensive study, highlight the methodology, discuss the results and provide insights to future developments.

Keywords: earthquake risk assessment; metropolitan area; intensity; spectral displacement; earthquake damage; loss scenario

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Copyright© 2009 IEM. Journal of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration. All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning or otherwise, except as described below, without written permission from the Publisher. Copying of articles is not permitted except for personal and internal use, to the extent permitted by national copyright law, or under the terms of a license issued by the National Reproduction Rights Organization of China.